Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#197
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#192
Pace57.3#334
Improvement+6.0#11

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#165
Improvement+7.5#1

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#236
Improvement-1.5#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2012 28   San Diego St. L 44-60 16%     0 - 1 -6.9 -20.7 +13.5
  Nov 19, 2012 296   Jacksonville L 58-64 83%     0 - 2 -17.9 -18.0 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2012 194   South Carolina L 67-74 OT 49%     0 - 3 -8.3 -9.8 +1.8
  Nov 25, 2012 181   SMU L 61-62 47%     0 - 4 -1.9 -5.5 +3.5
  Dec 01, 2012 163   Oral Roberts L 52-72 56%     0 - 5 -23.1 -24.0 +0.9
  Dec 05, 2012 175   @ Tulsa L 42-61 34%     0 - 6 -16.3 -22.9 +4.6
  Dec 08, 2012 21   @ Oklahoma St. L 42-62 5%     0 - 7 -3.4 -17.4 +12.2
  Dec 15, 2012 66   Valparaiso L 54-62 29%     0 - 8 -3.7 -12.0 +7.2
  Dec 18, 2012 339   @ Alabama A&M L 47-59 83%     0 - 9 -23.6 -17.8 -9.0
  Dec 22, 2012 87   @ New Mexico St. L 51-71 16%     0 - 10 -11.1 -15.3 +3.8
  Dec 30, 2012 161   Southern Illinois W 70-59 55%     1 - 10 1 - 0 +8.0 +19.8 -7.9
  Jan 02, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 59-62 OT 15%     1 - 11 1 - 1 +6.3 -5.3 +11.4
  Jan 05, 2013 118   @ Drake W 77-65 22%     2 - 11 2 - 1 +18.5 +16.0 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2013 65   Illinois St. W 62-55 28%     3 - 11 3 - 1 +11.4 -4.0 +16.1
  Jan 11, 2013 15   Creighton L 52-74 12%     3 - 12 3 - 2 -10.7 -8.6 -6.6
  Jan 16, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. L 60-68 18%     3 - 13 3 - 3 +0.2 +3.3 -4.5
  Jan 19, 2013 159   @ Bradley L 66-69 30%     3 - 14 3 - 4 +0.8 +2.7 -2.3
  Jan 23, 2013 34   Wichita St. L 52-62 17%     3 - 15 3 - 5 -1.6 -7.5 +4.3
  Jan 27, 2013 118   Drake W 78-72 44%     4 - 15 4 - 5 +6.0 +9.4 -2.9
  Jan 30, 2013 15   @ Creighton L 77-91 5%     4 - 16 4 - 6 +3.8 +15.4 -12.8
  Feb 02, 2013 79   Evansville W 62-61 34%     5 - 16 5 - 6 +3.8 -3.3 +7.1
  Feb 05, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa L 37-48 12%     5 - 17 5 - 7 +0.0 -17.4 +13.8
  Feb 09, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. L 50-79 7%     5 - 18 5 - 8 -14.1 -7.9 -9.9
  Feb 12, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 67-65 37%     6 - 18 6 - 8 +3.7 +1.4 +2.4
  Feb 16, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois L 54-62 31%     6 - 19 6 - 9 -4.5 -2.0 -4.9
  Feb 19, 2013 64   Northern Iowa L 63-69 28%     6 - 20 6 - 10 -1.5 +8.4 -11.3
  Feb 23, 2013 236   @ Eastern Michigan W 57-54 48%     7 - 20 +1.9 +3.5 -0.8
  Feb 27, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. L 50-86 12%     7 - 21 6 - 11 -25.1 -15.1 -12.5
  Mar 02, 2013 159   Bradley W 64-56 54%     8 - 21 7 - 11 +5.3 -3.7 +9.8
  Mar 07, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 61-53 43%     9 - 21 +8.2 +2.6 +7.6
  Mar 08, 2013 34   Wichita St. L 59-69 11%     9 - 22 +1.6 +1.9 -1.8
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 7.0 - 11.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%